Province 5 is gearing up for an Investment Summit in next few months to attract domestic and foreign investment into provincial level infrastructures and to finance other development works. But the federal government’s laws on foreign direct investment (FDI) give the Department of Industry (DoI) full authority to decide whether to let provincial governments process any foreign investment. The federal government alone needs $15 billion a year in investment to meet infrastructure gaps, and struggles to keep up with the demands of the provincial and local governments. Yet despite the dire financial need of local and federal governments, there is no conducive environment for investors. Unfavorable regulatory environment, lack of infrastructure and absence of credit facility are major hindrances for the country’s small and medium enterprises. Large infrastructure projects face even more complex challenges such as in availability of land and long-term financing mechanism. Although the World Bank’s new Doing Business Index has portrayed Nepal as a better destination for investment compared to some earlier years, actual investment is minimal. The FDI inflow in 2018/19 was around $130 million, or 25.7 percent less than previous year. Overall non-farm enterprise growth in the country is bleak. Yet Nepal has still been ranked 94th in 2020, almost 16 positions up from last year’s position among 190 countries ranked.
Government efforts to attract FDI and engage private sector to develop infrastructures seem mostly ritualistic. The Ministry of Finance, and especially finance minister Yubaraj Khatiwada, made possible the Foreign Investment and Technology Transfer Act (FITTA) 2019 and the Public-Private Partnership and Investment Act (PPPIA) 2019. These bills were major ‘showpieces’ during the March 2019 investment summit. But the summit organized to present Nepal as a favorable global investment destination has yielded almost no fruit. Nepal’s competition is with countries such as Bangladesh, Kenya and Philippines, which have made significant strides in terms of attracting FDI.
Implementation is always a critical hurdle in Nepal. The PPPIA aims to make Investment Board of Nepal (IBN) more functional by dividing it into investment and PPP units, in order to more efficiently manage pure investments and PPP activities. But the government has shown no interest in this pragmatic measure. Only endorsing bills won’t be enough to get more FDI if the acts cannot be implemented.
Engagement of domestic private sector in infrastructures and investment in services is also limited as the government perception of property rights is negative. Finance Minister Khatiwada’s remarks on imposition of property tax while transferring inherited property has played a role in keeping the private sector away from economic activities. Overall performance of the economy might seem healthy as our growth figures are above the average of the past one decade. But the non-farm enterprises growth is declining and contribution of manufacturing sector in GDP is decreasing.
It is a challenge to attract investment given the long list of industries and businesses restricted for foreign investment. Moreover, lack of institutional coordination and communication among institutions such as the Department of Industry (DoI), the Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) and the IBN creates further hindrances for foreign investors. Similarly, undermining the meritocratic process in appointment of top leaderships of such institutions has direct impact in undermining institutional good governance. In the absence of institutional good governance within key organizations, the process of attracting foreign investment and engaging private sector remains hamstrung. Having a team of weak negotiators on the other side of the table is a waste of time for genuine investors.
In the federal context, provincial and local governments should be allowed to attract investment without any intervention from the center, and these provincial and local governments should also be empowered to manage small to medium size foreign investment. Similarly, the government decision to increase minimum FDI threshold from $50,000 to $500,000 has significant implications on FDI inflow. This policy hurts small and medium enterprises (SMEs), which have been a major driver of Nepal’s service sector. In fact, the contribution of service sector, almost 57 percent of the economy, has been increasing in the past one decade. Against this backdrop, the government should revisit its new FDI cap O
The author is an economist