Rice deficit continues despite production boost

Despite a notable increase in rice production this fiscal year, Nepal continues to face a significant rice deficit, with over 1m metric tons still required to meet the country’s total demand. The government’s pledge of achieving self-reliance in rice is increasingly being challenged by the reality of soaring imports and regional disparities in cultivation.

According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development, a total of 5.955m metric tons of rice were produced in the current fiscal year 2024/25, cultivated across 1.420m hectares of land. While the area under cultivation was 1.28 percent less than the previous year, overall production rose by 4.04 percent, marking the highest average productivity to date.

Nepal’s annual rice requirement stands at approximately 7m metric tons, leaving a gap of around 1m metric tons. This shortfall has led to a steep rise in rice imports. From July to May, the country imported paddy and rice worth over Rs 38.94bn, according to the Department of Customs.

These figures surface just as the government celebrates the 22nd National Rice Day on 29 June under the slogan “Intensification in Rice Crops: Food Security and Self-Reliance.” Critics argue the slogan contrasts sharply with the ground realities, as imports continue to undermine the self-sufficiency narrative.

Nepal imports rice from multiple countries, including the United States, Japan, Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia, Italy, Britain, and Namibia.

To address this persistent gap, the government has introduced a targeted initiative for the next fiscal year 2025/26, aiming to scale up Chaite rice cultivation in 22 Tarai districts with a budget of Rs. 330m. The objective is to boost production by an additional 1.2m metric tons, increasing the Chaite rice cultivated area from 110,000 to 200,000 hectares.

Regional planting patterns show varying progress. In Koshi Province, paddy planting had reached 14.25 percent by the second week of Asad, slightly up from 13.71 percent in the same period last year. According to Sharan Kumar Pandey, secretary at the provincial agriculture ministry, 826,646 hectares are cultivable, with 39,387 hectares already planted.

In Karnali Province, paddy cultivation remains limited due to geographical and irrigation constraints. Only 9.52 percent of land is cultivable, and just 39,636 hectares are used for rice farming. Still, officials expect an improvement in yields due to timely rainfall this year.

The Sudurpaschim Province shows relatively strong progress, with 45 percent of rice planting completed by mid-Asad across 176,151 hectares. In contrast, Madhes Province, which contributes around 25 percent to national rice production, is lagging behind due to delayed monsoon rains, with only 10 percent of planting completed.

Gandaki Province also reported a dip in rice production. This year, 379,032 metric tons were harvested across 97,959 hectares, compared to 391,624 metric tons the previous year. Urbanization, especially in Kaski, has reduced both the area and productivity, causing an annual rice deficit of over 120,000 metric tons in the district.

As the government pushes for greater agricultural output and rice self-sufficiency, experts emphasize the need for better irrigation, subsidies, mechanization, and post-harvest infrastructure. Without substantial changes, Nepal’s dependency on rice imports is unlikely to end soon—raising questions about the effectiveness of current agricultural policies.