Nepal’s politics is heading toward a critical juncture. Old narratives are collapsing, but a new horizon is not yet clear.
For the past three decades, the reins of power in Nepal have revolved around a few leaders. At times, one would join another’s leadership; and at other times, one overthrow the other to ascend to power. This cycle brought deep frustration to the country rather than stability. Now, the political consciousness, from the streets of Kathmandu to the village squares, has fundamentally changed. An old era is now breathing its last breath, and the footsteps can be heard.
The three big powers— Nepali Congress (NC), the CPN-UML and Nepali Communist Party (NCP)— that have been determining the destiny of the country for years are now in the most serious existential crisis in their history. For decades, these parties only showed people dreams. But, they never showed any readiness to fulfill those dreams. The faces of those in power did not change. Only their power equations and working rooms changed.
History does not always move in the same rhythm. The GenZ movement seen in Sept 2025 proved to be a turning point in the history of Nepali politics. This movement was not limited to the demand for a change in the government, but was a collective mass uprising against institutional corruption, nepotism, favoritism, and incompetent leadership that had been entrenched for years. The anger that started from social media and spilled over to the streets changed the grammar of traditional politics.
That movement has given a clear message: Nepali people are now tired of the ‘farming of assurances’ that the parties do. The leaders who were called ‘liberators’ of yesterday are now looking like ‘exploiters’. The new generation is looking for an alternative to leadership. This movement has given a clear signal that today’s politics will not be based solely on the interests of heritage and history. Today’s politics demands positive results, ethics, and a new perspective.
Collapsed fortresses: The pathetic condition of the old parties
The leadership of NC is currently in crisis. The country’s oldest democratic party is now in an ideological vacuum. The factionalism within the party is no longer limited to positions, it has become a major battle for ‘generational transition’. Young leaders are no longer ready to carry the burden of the old and weak leadership. They know that if the leadership does not change, it will be difficult for the NC to preserve its historical existence in the 2025 elections.
Although discipline appears from the outside regarding the single leadership of KP Sharma Oli, a volcano of dissatisfaction is burning inside. After the dramatic collapse of the government in 2025, the ideological crisis in the party deepened. The slogan of ‘Prosperous Nepal’ alone is no longer enough to satisfy the cadres. Due to the leadership’s harsh style and tendency to prohibit new ideas, a large section of the UML is looking for an alternative.
The NCP is currently on the defensive. It has transformed itself with the merger of some other small communist parties under the banner of the Nepali Communist Party. As it falls into the clutches of power, the agenda and changes on which the party grew have all been lost. The Maoists are losing their ‘core’ public opinion by focusing more on the arithmetic of power than on the fundamental problems of the people. The party is now fragmenting into smaller factions and groups, diminishing its national influence.
Alliances without principles and economic laxity
The most tragic aspect of Nepal’s politics right now is the ‘death of principles’. There is no political basis for which party will align with whom at what time. One alliance is formed in the morning, another in the evening. These alliances are not for the development of the country, but are based on the interests of how to stay in power and how to manage the state treasury. While leaders are busy making and breaking crude alliances like houses of sand, the country’s economic indices are declining. Youth exodus is alarming. Inflation has reached the sky. Development construction works are at a standstill.
The conflict between new forces and old desires
The failure of old parties has created a playing field for new forces like the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP). But they do not seem to have the ability to understand the welfare state that the people want. Although the people see the new parties as hope, these parties also seem to be confused due to the lack of internal discipline, maturity and clear direction. The public is beginning to feel that there is no guarantee that the trend will change when a new face comes in.
Amidst this political confusion and instability, a small group is trying to revive the debate on the monarchy. This is more out of love for the monarchy than out of anger at the inaction of the current republican leaders. The people are not trying to reinstate the deposed king, but rather for stability, security, and a guardianship that will allow them to thrive in their own country. The current system has failed to fulfill this desire of the people.
While spontaneous change is naturally conducive to the country, time, and situation, the outcome of movements driven by the vested interests of external powers is always unfortunate. This eternal truth must be understood by those at the forefront of the process of giving and taking responsibility. The irony remains that this truth has always been pushed to the sidelines in critical moments of power transfer. The same happened in the recent turmoil in Nepal.
The election of March 2026: A litmus test for the system
The upcoming election in March 2026 is not just an ordinary periodic election. It is a major litmus test for the current political system and constitution of Nepal. If this election also repeats the old face and old trends, the people’s patience may break.
The path of Nepali politics in the coming time hinges on these three main questions.
The first is leadership. Some leaders of the old parties that have been in power for years are not very popular among the people now. Will those parties dare to bid farewell to their old leaders and bring forward new, educated and capable youth? This remains to be seen.
The second is the unity of new forces. Many new faces and parties have now entered politics. But will they remain divided into small groups or will they all become a strong force together? Only if they can unite will the country get a reliable alternative.
The third and most important thing is the problems of the people. In politics so far, there has been a lot of debate about which leader will get the chair. But in the upcoming elections, will we only talk about ‘who will become the Prime Minister’ or will we make the problems of the people like rising inflation, unemployment and increasing domestic production the main issues? The upcoming elections will either lead Nepal to a stable and prosperous path, or push it into a whirlpool of even greater political instability and conflict. This dirty game of power must end now. If the leaders fail to understand the footsteps of time, their names will be limited to the pages of history as ‘characters who spoiled the country’. The upcoming elections will decide not only the government, but also the future direction and condition of Nepal.
