The value of the statute
The constitution is a living document and, as such, it reflects the public’s spirit and aspirations. By no means is it meant to be interpreted as a wish list, but instead as a document which guides the everyday direction of the state, its functions and functionaries. Obviously, if our leaders thought something could not be implemented or handled, it should not have been written in the constitution. Bearing that in mind, constitutionally, Nepal is a federal republic. After completing three tiers of elections, we are moving forward towards implementing federalism. Oddly, however, when political leaders are asked individually, the majority express some form of disappointment over the federal structure we have recently passed. The very leaders who spent years mulling over the content of the Statute and were very much a part of its writing process now show little ownership over the document, and federalism in particular. The uneasy answer of having signed on to the constitution under some ‘external pressures’ looms over the political class.
Perhaps this is why the trends we have been observing when it comes to implementing a federal constitution is dubious at best. There is a real danger that Nepal’s federalism may be limited to name only.
We all know the Constitution of Nepal, although a commendable document, is rather vague on many issues. Some of the concepts, for example the declaration of Nepal as ‘pro-socialist’ country has no legal interpretation. Technically, only politicians can explain its spirit. Similarly, the definition of secularism is also beyond the understanding of legal eyes. Even federalism through three tiers, which is explicit, seems to still be politically open for negotiation!
The irony is that for the last decade, the entire focus was on drafting the constitution, but once we got it, it is quickly being forgotten. Still many elected lawmakers (federal, provincial and local) do not understand the letter and spirit of our constitution. Even those who invested in the process of constitution drafting are slowly turning a blind eye when it comes to safeguarding and implementing what’s in there. Constitutional literacy is the need of the hour and neither the state nor the non-governmental sector seems to be paying much attention.
What’s in store for a state that deliberately undermines the value of the constitution and for a non-governmental sector busy in keeping business going is that there will be a gradual shift to centralized tendencies. Rather than focusing on implementing the constitution in letter and spirit, the government has diverted attention to stability and prosperity. The people are obediently being swept off their feet with promises of an economic revolution of sorts, which deep down we know is simply impossible without strengthening constitutionalism and rule of law.
Apart from the discrepancies in constitutional implementation I mentioned in my last column, there are a further two major upcoming constitutional deadlines by when the government must complete drafting new bills and pass them through the federal parliament. The first one is related to fundamental rights. As guided by the constitution, within three years of declaring the constitution, this government must enact several bills related to fundamental rights. That is, by September 19, 2018, these bills need to have been passed and they are more than three dozen in number.
The second is that within one year of the first meeting of the federal parliament, the government must enact all bills under the new constitution. The first meeting of the federal parliament was held on Feb 5, 2018.
If the government fails to replace the old bills with the new ones by Feb 4, 2019, the old bills will be automatically expelled and a situation of constitutional vacuum will be created. It is already late-June and little to no work has been done on the hundreds of new bills and amendments that will be needed.
The Oli government and the opposition parties are not serious about this potential constitutional crisis. The constitution is new but the mindset of party leaders is old and centralized, and going by the ‘old’ ways, the political class will find it easy to continue to shift and move deadlines to suit their political ends. A simple amendment here and there and this transition will be ongoing for another decade without all of us having even realized its costs. Prosperity surely cannot come in a constitutional vacuum.
We are family!
Animation/Action
INCREDIBLES 2
CAST: Holly Hunter, Craig T Nelson, Bob Odenkirk, Samuel L Jackson
DIRECTION: Brad Bird
‘The Incredibles’ (2004) remains my favorite Pixar movie. The film’s biggest replay value, for me, is that it shows the day-to-day crime fighting routine of superheroes and also explores the question: “what if superheroes were to raise a family like normal people?” The film’s writer/director Brad Bird develops this central idea with the loveable husband-wife superhero duo of Mr. Incredible (voiced by Craig T Nelson) and Elastigirl (Holly Hunter), who need to figure out a way to squeeze in time for their kids while saving the world. Bird’s comic approach was highly successful in bringing out a fun and lighthearted superhero film that took jabs at genre clichés and showed us the personal side of superheroes where they were put down by everyday hassles.
Now after 14 years of its release, many things have changed. The superhero movies have entirely eclipsed the market of mainstream Hollywood cinema. In the wake of ‘Deadpool’ and ‘Thor: Ragnarok’, superhero films have also come-of-age, in the sense that they are not afraid to poke fun at themselves.
So when Pixar green-lit ‘Incredibles 2’, Brad Bird was burdened with the same duties that are put on long-awaited sequels: to give fans of the original film a nostalgia trip and at the same time make it relevant for the new audience. After I can happily report that Bird has done an incredible job! He makes this second installment a funny and adventurous affair that will find the love of both the fans of the original and audiences who are new to the series.
The film opens on The Incredibles—Mr. Incredible, Elastigirl and their three superkids—and their close ally Frozone (Samuel L Jackson) secretly trying to stop a sophisticated bank robber. But their effort causes a lot of collateral damage. This in turn angers the authorities that have already banned superheroes. Their point being, superheroes are liable to bring more destruction than protection to their city.
The Incredibles are ordered to stick to their secret identities. But soon, a brother-sister team (Bob Odenkirk, Catherine Keener) presents themselves as guardian angels. They propose a plan to popularize superheroes again and urge the government to lift the ban. For this, they choose Elastigirl as the face of their movement, fighting against a faceless and shape shifting supervillain, much to the dislike of Mr. Incredible, who is now left to assume the position of a homemaker.
The sequel doesn’t let go off the parenthood theme that was at the heart of the first film. Here too, it seems that the film is secretly disguised as a children’s film targeted at adults. True, there are enough crowd pleasing action and slapstick set pieces to tickle young audience but the film’s emphasis on good parenting will score high among the adults as well.
Bird remains in the formulaic storytelling territory but spins out new angles on old tropes. Thus in sequences where Mr. Incredible has to be Mr. Mom, Bird adds subtle visual humor and witty remarks to keep the content funny even if we’ve seen these beats before. But the sequel’s actual achievement is its decision to gender flip the story: Elastigirl gets more screen time, donning her daredevil suit and sparring against villains.
This is a solid sequel to a classic and much loved film. It is a superhero movie but nonetheless it celebrates the spirit of family, parenthood and equality. The film’s entertainment factor will quadruple if it’s watched with family members.
Who should watch it?
Just because it’s an animated movie, don’t think it is just for children. As Pixar films go, ‘Incredibles 2’ is cut to satisfy both adults and children. It’s accessible and enjoyable even for those who haven’t watched the first film.
Hurdles to prosperity
What are the main barriers to Nepal’s prosperity? I enlist eight of them below.
False sense of security
The more the people of a country are action-oriented and can take risks, the faster that country develops. But when it comes to Nepal, the country has only ever been thought of as a ‘safe sanctuary’ since the Homo sapiens first made their way here while expanding away from their base in North Africa around 100,000 years ago. The people belonging to Indo-European, Tibet-Burmese and Austro-Dravidian language families who settled in Nepal were for thousands of years occupied with rudimentary agriculture, animal husbandry and hunting—and always cursing their wretched luck.
In the 14th and 15th centuries, when the Europeans were scouring the world in their ships in search of new markets and places, and were making various scientific discoveries, we were in deep slumber, or busy listening to tales of sages meditating in caves. This is how we missed the road to prosperity.
Quirk of history
Industrial development is possible only in centralized nation-states or federal-states. This is why it was important to unite the many small princely states in this region in the 18th century. This was something that could have been done under the leadership of the Malla rulers of Kathmandu, the Sen rulers of Tarai-Madhes or the Khas rulers of the ‘22’ and ‘24’ princely states. Unluckily, the mission was carried out under the relatively weak and poor Khas ruler Prithvi Narayan Shah.
The need of the hour back then was to take the feudalistic society towards capitalism, which was exactly what was happening in Europe and America at the time. But in Nepal the Gorkhali rulers tried to further solidify the feudal order by distributing land to their near and dear ones. Had the unification campaign had been carried out under the Malla rulers of Kathmandu, the hub of trade and industry at the time, perhaps Nepali history would have taken a different turn.
‘Halal’ revolution
Industrial development has been possible in various countries only after the completion of the political revolution against authoritarian monarchies, so as to establish multiparty democracy, rule of law and to restructure the state accordingly. But in Nepal, starting in 1950, all political revolutions and people’s movements have ended either in compromises or partial achievements, in what may be called a ‘halal revolution’. In this revolution, the revolutionary forces always enters into compromises with the ruling power. This in turn ensures that the old rulers remain in place and thus any change in state mechanism becomes cosmetic.
Fatalism and casteism
There can be no meaningful change or revolution unless there is first a revolution in how people think. In the 10,000 years of human civilization, only in the past 500 years has there been meaningful changes and developments in their lives. This change happened when they were able to shed their old superstitions and conservatism. The scientific revolution, the Enlightenment, the political revolution, and the industrial revolution, they all happened in Europe in the period between 16th to 18th centuries. Crucially, this followed the reformation of the church in the 15th century. But in Nepal we have to this day been unable to shed our unscientific and regressive superstitions, conservatism, fatalism and casteism, which are all being perpetuated in the name of religion. Fatalism and casteism have been especially harmful for Nepal’s prosperity.
Geopolitical trap
A country’s prosperity or decline largely depends on internal reasons. Nonetheless the outside world cay play an important, and even decisive, role in a special period in a country’s history. In Nepal’s case, the 1816 Sugauli Treaty dealt a body blow to the cottage industries that were in the process of developing into modern manufacturing industries. The small cottage industries of Nepal were in no position to compete against the big Indian industries. Likewise, the Chinese Communist Revolution broke Nepal’s traditional trade relations with Tibet, further hampering its cottage industries. But while the country has been time and again affected by this geopolitical trap, there has been no national consensus in Nepal on how to deal with it, and how to reduce our overreliance on India.
Wrong capital allocation
For an industrial revolution, it is vital that the primary capital from agricultural and industrial activities is accumulated and reinvested in productive sectors. But in the history of Nepal, especially beginning with the Rana period, most of the capital that was accumulated from agricultural and industrial activities has been later invested in unproductive consumer goods and in building big places for the ruling elites.
Even in recent times most of our remittances are being spent on imported luxury goods. It is clear that the capital worth billions of rupees in our banks and financial institutions is still caught up in unproductive sectors. The control over state resources of crony capitalists, middlemen of foreign companies and various cartels and syndicates has further exacerbated the problem.
Labor migration
The presence of a large and independent manpower is one of the prerequisites to industrial revolution. After the Sugauli Treaty, abled-bodied Nepalis started to enlist with foreign armies. Now a big chunk of our able-bodied men and women in rural areas are working abroad as migrant laborers. Instead of importing capital and exporting goods, we export manpower in order to import capital. Nowhere in the world has this flawed model led to prosperity.
Neglect of science
One of the commonalities of the developed countries is their emphasis on science and technology. Scientific quests and discoveries were at the heart of the first, second, third and now the fourth industrial revolution. But starting with the mysterious murder of Nepal’s first scientist, Gehendra Shumsher, there has been an almost criminal neglect in the establishment of research facilities and in emphasizing science and technology education. Our public education is in dire straits and our educated manpower is increasingly migrating. This is no road to prosperity.
What is needed right now is a serious national debate on all these issues. We don’t have the luxury of continuing to be an underdeveloped island amid an ocean of prosperity. As Bhupi Sherchan said: “Who can fall asleep in a hay field when logs are on fire all around?”
Oli in Beijing
Even as Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli is in Beijing on an official visit, there has been much speculation over the supposed Chinese nonchalance. Some even had issues with the press release issued by our Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which made no mention of Oli meeting General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party and President Xi Jinping—and therefore a proof of Chinese lukewarm response to Oli’s visit. But in Beijing on Wednesday Xi and Oli had delegation level talks and one-on-one for over an hour; this despite the presence of two other important dignitaries in town: North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Bolivian President Evo Morales. But it is true that the Chinese side is wary of the gap between Kathmandu’s words and deeds—particularly on project implementation. Nepali side’s tardiness, even childishness, in proposing projects to be built under the Belts and Roads Initiatives (BRI) has been of concern for them. For example, a certain Nepali ministry had reportedly floated the proposal of building a Disney-style theme park in Nepal under the BRI. Clearly there is gap in understanding between the two sides on what the BRI is and isn’t.
Xi-Modi Summit
There is more to the optics from the Chinese side and it isn’t related to what Oli did or didn’t. If anything, as former Prime Minister Baburam Bhattarai pointed out in his article in Kantipur Daily on June 18, the Xi-Modi Wuhan summit in April is likely to cast shadow on China-Nepal relations for sometime—at least in terms of optics.
While there is no word on what was discussed in relation to Nepal, there are speculations that Modi ‘acknowledged Chinese strategic interest in the Maldives and Sri Lanka,’ while urging Xi to ‘go slow on Nepal and Bhutan.’ This may explain both the sort of toning down of rhetoric on the Maldives in the Indian media as well as some of perceived Chinese nonchalance towards Nepal in the Nepali media. According to this theory, if Beijing has accepted Delhi’s request, the reciprocal high-level visit to Nepal from the Chinese side will happen at Premier Li Keqiang’s level, not at Xi’s level.
China also needs Nepal
Those who see Chinese cold shoulder forget that China needs us as much as we need them. Chinese overture towards Nepal is part of a long strategy—further buttressed by Nepal’s blockade-induced strategic autonomy in its foreign policy.
As Sudheer Sharma observes in his brilliant article in Kantipur on June 15, China wants overland access to Indian markets [and parts of Bangladesh] and a route through Nepal is the easiest way.
Indian states of Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal that border Nepal are highly populous, with around 400 million people between them, which comes to roughly the size of European Union and bigger than the United States. Bangladesh has another 163 million people. These are potentially huge markets for mass-market goods as their already sizeable middle class continues to grow.
This presents Beijing with unique opportunity to develop its Tibet and even Xinjiang as production and trading hubs—with some production capacity outsourced to Nepal. For comparison, Nepal can be a nodal point to bigger markets than Pakistan and Central Asia combined. Pakistan has population of 193 million and five former Central Asian Soviet Republics have a combined population of 70 million. Nepal can and should leverage these facts as it deepens engagement with China.
Clearly Beijing could put on a show out of respect for Modi, leader of one of its biggest trading partners, but what matters is the substance (or lack of it) on Nepal-China front. That depends as much on Nepal as it does on China. As Beijing is wary of Nepal’s poor implementation capacity, the idea of establishment of a bilateral oversight mechanism is a significant first step.