Illusion of control
In psychology, there is a theory built around ‘illusory control’. This is the belief that one has the ability to control and influence outcomes beyond one’s reach. Generally, power holders tend to believe they have control over the people and their actions. It is good to have some sense of control. The problem arises when power holders get a false impression of their strength.
For those who have been following Prime Minister KP Oli, he sounds bold, confident and optimistic. He strongly believes that after he became the prime minister things have dramatically changed for the better. For example, he believes that despite minor incidents, corruption is under control. He believes that political stability has indeed given us law and order and that development has taken pace.
Unfortunately, the reality is just the opposite. Corruption is widespread, not only in volume, but in scale as well. Impunity is rampant. People are getting angrier with the government and frustrations are beginning to mount. Not just the federal government, the provincial and local governments, too, are losing public trust already. If recent events around the rape and murder of Nirmala Pant are any sign, it is clear that more public protests will follow.
There is increasing evidence that PM Oli does not actually control the council of ministers. On many occasions, he is misinformed and misled by his own cabinet members and advisers. To then watch PM Oli confidently analyze the situation based on false information further entrenches the belief that he is leading and acting in accordance with those false realities.
A report in the journal Psychological Science highlights how power, once attained, is maintained or lost. The authors note that “positive illusions can be adaptive, helping power holders make the seemingly impossible possible.”
The basic idea here is that when a leader harbors false illusions of power and control that can give them the confidence needed to make difficult policy decisions, push for headstrong legislative or policy implementation and take on major reform processes. For us, however, while there is evidence to show that KP Oli is harboring such positive illusions, there is no marked act that he has made to signify that perhaps those illusions are pushing us towards speedy and bold reforms.
Instead, as further argued in the Psychological Science article, we see that perhaps the “relationship between power and illusory control” might be contributing “directly to losses in power,” by causing our leader, KP Oli, to “make poor choices”. This would mean that while Oli is harboring illusions of control, they are leading him to simply exercise his power and flex muscle rather than making positive strides in core and essential governance areas. In essence, in our case, it is increasingly looking like, as the authors of the article state, that “the illusion of personal control might be one of the ways in which power often leads to its own demise.”
So far what we see is that KP Oli’s actions are having an undesired effect on the people. However, he seems rather unaware of shifting attitudes among the public and is showing no sign of course correction. It is indeed a case of not having the facts right, not being told or simply being in denial. That mindset has led Oli to disregard comments and criticism from all corners, opting to take a defensive approach to his style of governance. Over time, that will lead to his own demise.
What is particularly interesting about the theory of illusory control is that it applies differently to leaders on the basis of their backgrounds. The aforementioned report authors point out that leadership that emerges suddenly from poor and uneducated backgrounds, “when engulfed by a sense of illusory control, generally make terrible decisions.” In Nepal’s case, that rings so true, and it goes beyond the leadership of this current government.
After 1990, though we have had many elected governments, incompetence and inability of leaders to keep their pulse on public sentiment have been defining features. Even this two-thirds majority government is facing a similar crisis. It must then not be a surprise that the vast majority of Nepal’s ruling class hail from poor and uneducated backgrounds and proactively tend to internalize notions of illusory control. So much for achieving the seemingly impossible through false notions of control! o
Lure of China
Much has been written about Nepal’s last-minute withdrawal from the BIMSTEC military exercises held in India from Sept 10 to 16. Some see this as a mark of Nepal’s assertiveness and advice India to get used to dealing with a confident Nepal. Others are praising the government for upholding the principles of non-aligned movement as they saw the exercises as being targeted against China. Meanwhile, the Indian side, which was clearly dismayed by Nepal’s “snub”, attributes the cancellation to Nepal’s “internal political dynamics”, a vague interpretation that can mean many things. All of these are politically correct interpretations, which, like all politically correct interpretations, are cryptic, bend the truth, do not tell the whole truth or contain no truth at all.
Here’s what the withdrawal means, plain and simple. The decision does not in any way prove that we are becoming more independent or assertive in conducting our foreign policy. All it means is that we are becoming overly sensitive of China and we don’t want to do anything that we imagine as against Chinese interests. When foreign policy is guided by others’ imagined interests and with the sole intent of appeasing others than promoting our own interests, can we call that being assertive and independent?
China has made it clear time and again that it doesn’t want Nepal to jeopardize its relations with India, but we don’t seem to get it. The Chinese foreign minister, Wang Yi, talked about trilateral cooperation with our foreign minister Pradip Gyawali in Beijing for a reason.
Therefore, it makes little sense to believe that the pressure to withdraw from the exercises came from Beijing. As Nepal was beaming with pride for upholding the ideals of non-aligned movement and preserving its neutrality, China was participating in a 27-country naval exercises that also included the US, Japan and India, among others, in Darwin, Australia, from August 30 to Sept 15. The leaders and scholars who opposed Nepal’s participation in the BIMSTEC military exercises thinking that it won them some brownie points with China, are clearly in for disappointment.
Then, what actually led us to commit a major diplomatic blunder that certainly angered one neighbor but made no difference whatsoever to another neighbor?
PM KP Oli wants to prove that he is a nationalist and is quite good at standing up to India. As the government is losing its popularity, he seems to have realized that being “assertive” vis-à-vis India would do his image no harm at all.
Nepali Congress probably calculated that opposing the mffffffilitary exercises would help shed its pro-India image and make it appear as nationalist as the ruling NCP and it too could be seen favorably by China. The government thus pulled out of the military drills, fearing that the NC was stealing its nationalist thunder.
It could also be that some intellectuals and lawmakers who opposed the military exercises were made to believe that China wasn’t happy with them, by a junior diplomat or somebody acting on his or her own capacity in Kathmandu. And the government was easily swayed byf the orchestrated “public outcry” against the military exercises.
A recent report by the Wilson Center on Chinese influence in American academia contains many examples of Chinese diplomats in consulates across the US going beyond their mandate to encourage Chinese students associations to protest “anti-China” views in academia. Rather than serving their country these diplomats wanted to boost their own careers and perks. Something of the sort has happened here as well.
In September 2013 the Ministry of Defense sent a letter to the Nepal Army asking it not to enroll foreign students in its high altitude and mountain warfare school in Mustang. The military, realizing that it was just someone in Kathmandu trying to raise his/her profile, ignored it altogether. There has been no pressure from Beijing, at least publicly, on the issue so far. Just like the southern diplomats in Kathmandu, the northern diplomats too at times go beyond their mandate and our gullible leaders and analysts readily swallow it.
India probably knows that the decision has to do with the government being overly and unnecessarily sensitive to Chinese interests in Nepal. But it cannot say so openly given the recent thaw in its relations with China. Hence the vague “internal political dynamics” interpretation is what they have to be satisfied with.
Again, just like the others, I could be way off as well.
Gurkha experience in a new place they call home
It’s another Friday morning, and Pancha Maya Limbu is with her friends in her cozy room. Her room is on the first floor of a recently repaired building in Grays, Essex, which looks no less than five-decade-old. The 65-year-old Gurkha widow apparently owns nothing, not even a sofa. Her neighborhood friends, Manmati Limbu, 71, and Maiya Limbu, 72, both Gurkha widows, innocently gaze at each other, listening to the conversation as they find a stranger in the apartment they often visit to share their life experiences.
A narrow passage at the main entrance that leads to the kitchen is full of worn-out footwear. On the wall are portraits of a variety of gods. The dining room is full of equipment which Pancha Maya uses during her shaman prayer. “Here is where I live,” she smiles. “No one knows where they will end up. I would never have thought of being here in my life.”
The story of Pancha Maya is the reality of most retired Gurkhas and their families in the UK where they have been offered a new hope for life.
While the Gurkhas had served in the British Army, after their retirement they were encouraged to restart their traditional way of life in the homeland: farming. But after 2004 when the British government announced a new law allowing the Gurkhas to settle in the UK, the number of Gurkhas has increased in major towns, including Grays.
The presence of the Gurkhas in the UK is a reminder of their strong ties to this country.
According to the Gurkha Welfare Trust, there are an estimated 14,000 Gurkhas (heads of family) living in different parts of the country, of whom 12,000 retired before July 1997, with the majority of them on benefits. Additionally, there are approximately 1,600 Gurkha widows. Altogether, there are about 58,000 people of Gurkha backgrounds, says Gary Ghale, Gurkha Welfare Officer at the Trust.
This emerging pattern of migration among the Gurkhas has now raised an important question, particularly for the likes of Pancha Maya who can’t read or write English: what to expect from life?
Citizens of the UK are eligible for several different welfare benefits depending on financial circumstances and national insurance contributions. For example, if a person has a total of 30 qualifying years of national insurance contributions, the person will qualify for the state pension; if the person has not paid enough national insurance contribution, little or no state pension will be paid. However, the person can apply for other means-tested benefits which are based on the needs of the individual. The majority of the Gurkhas and their families fall under this category as they have not paid enough national insurance.
Manmati Limbu, who came to the UK in the hope of having new life experience, is one of those living on means-tested benefits. She lives with her son, daughter-in-law and grandchildren. In her early days, she found the UK homely because the Gurkha community was small and everyone shared their lives with each other.
But this does not happen so much now as the Gurkha community has changed with time. Besides, there are also changes in social behaviors amongst the Gurkhas, with the younger generation opting for Western lifestyles. These changes have brought about a dilemma to Manmati: What am I to do? On the one hand, she needs to be in the UK as she is on medication with follow-up hospital appointments. Moreover, being with her own family members is important as it allows her to feel loved and secure.
On the other hand, she knows she is getting older as time goes by and she has no idea of what to expect from life in a country where her own culture is non-existent. Now she is worried about her future. “I am sharing a room with my son. I am certain my granddaughter will soon need the room that I am living in,” she says. “I don’t know where I will end up when she moves in.”
Maiya Limbu, originally from Tehrathum, has a different story. Like most other widows, she left her homeland hoping for a new life but ended up being all alone on foreign soil: now she needs someone’s help to run her everyday life—from reporting to official appointments to visiting supermarkets. She doesn’t even know what benefits she is on despite the fact that she is in the welfare system. Her diasporic world is made up of only a small number of friends.
Although many retired Gurkhas and their families are illiterate, they were the ones who successfully created an urban class in their homeland, where their lives are similar to those of the elite class: most educate their children in private schools, live in good housing and some even employ maids. Gurkha residences in the homeland are often described to be moderate because of their Western influence, yet it is these ‘brave warriors’ and their families who are struggling in their land of dreams because of language: the majority of them can’t read or write English.
The British government is trying to address minorities’ issues by offering a range of vocational courses. In particular, local councils are actively helping minorities to improve their language skills. In 2012, it established several resources through local councils with the aim of helping the Gurkhas and their families enhance English language. Yet most elderly Gurkhas and their spouses failed to take an advantage of the opportunity because of age-related illnesses, such as diabetes.
While life in the UK is challenging, some Gurkhas and their families find the former world power a place of opportunity. Now many own their own private homes or small businesses and, in particular, working age Gurkhas including their wives and children are doing well. In 2014, Kent University reported the Gurkhas of working age to be the most economically active and self-reliant social group in the UK, with 95 percent in employment.
However, for those who can’t read or write English, linguistic challenges continue to be a driving force behind Gurkha pessimism. Despite these challenges, the British values remain as a lifeline for the likes of Pancha Maya who hopes to live a happy life in a foreign land. “The government is doing more than enough. It has offered me a council flat, assuring me of a future which I couldn’t have in my homeland,” she says. “I am not moving anywhere; I will continue to stay here until I die” o
The author is a researcher associated with South Asian Media Studies Center, UK
The trouble with ethics
The trouble with ethics is no one knows you have them until you come into conflict with people around you.
Earlier this year I was offered a job which breaches my, and the current trend of, ethics. It is not illegal and the person was truly astounded when I said what he was suggesting is now seen, around the world, as unethical. He stated that a niche market had opened up, which he thought he could fill, because of the very fact other countries and organizations have stopped this practice due to ethics.
My friend has worked for decades to improve the lives of thousands of people in Nepal, and to a lesser extent, overseas. This of course takes an inordinate amount of fundraising. He thought that by entering this niche market he could make enough money to help fund his humanitarian projects.
Double jeopardy. Do we do something parts of the world now considers unethical, but as I said, not illegal, to the benefit of the underprivileged? In my opinion this could backfire on him, making his current donors and supporters doubt his ethics across the board. Or am I just being too sensitive to something that perhaps his supporters are totally unaware of?
I am sure this question is similar to those faced by non-profit and for-profit organizations every day. Perhaps for the organizations that exist to make a profit for their shareholders, the line is not so blurred. After all making money is their bottom line. As long as it is not illegal, who cares if it is ethical or not? Most larger organizations these days have a social conscience—some contributing out of real desire to help (the environment, the unemployed, the poor, etc) and others out of an obligation and perhaps for a tax rebate.
Non-profits face a bigger dilemma, as their very existence is often brought about in reply to unethical behavior (armed conflict, gender bias, etc) by governments and groups in various countries around the world. One organization I respect for its ethics is UNICEF. They do not use pictures of suffering children in their fund-raising campaigns or literature. To them it is unethical to use the suffering of children to raise money. Yet many organizations do use pictures of the suffering to help raise awareness and funds. We can ask, is this ethical? Does the end justify the means?
We can also say ethics is a luxury many people cannot afford. But by saying this, I think we do the majority of the population a disservice. We all have our own level of understanding of ethics, depending on our background, upbringing and environment. Sometimes we are required to do things in our work or family which we do not particularly want to but by not doing them the result may be us being out of a job or coming into conflict with colleagues, friends or relatives.
It can be extremely hard to stand up and say ‘no’ when those around us are compliant. But every day people take the decision to do just that. Often those people are not widely noticed, but most likely are the people who do not get ahead in their career or are called ‘foolish’ for not breaking their own set of values for personal gain. There are a few brave souls (like a friend’s mother) who stand up for their beliefs by chaining themselves to trees or machinery scheduled to cut those trees or mine the land. Or who stand up against the social norms in their society (like Malala Yousafzai) because nowhere under God’s law does it say girl children should be denied education, or that certain people are less than human and should be exterminated. And sometimes we do notice these people and applaud their ethics o



